Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | +14.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +12 (80-68). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Grabau * | 38 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Abner Moreira * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Kenny McGowen * | 34 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Melvin Morgan * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Andre Hatchett * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Sherrod Baldwin | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Dejan Kostur | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Swanson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chehales Tapscott * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Charles Odum * | 33 | 10-18 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Michael Harthun * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Lateef McMullan * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nate Lozeau * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Renado Parker | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gary Winston | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Martin Whitmore | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Michael Harvey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter