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2012-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Hampton Pirates Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +5.9 โœ“ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“

Actual: Morgan State Bears +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hampton Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darrion Pellum * 40 12-28 5-12 7-9 7 0 2 0 2 36 15 -
Mike Tuitt * 32 2-8 0-3 1-4 6 5 1 0 4 5 5 -
Danny Agbelese * 30 4-8 0-0 1-4 7 0 0 4 2 9 10 -
Milade Lola-Charles * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 0 2 -
Aaron Austin 28 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 2 1 -
Jasper Williams 22 0-7 0-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -6 -
Wesley Dunning 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Emmanuel Okoroba 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Larry Bastfield * 36 2-7 1-3 5-6 2 4 1 0 0 10 10 -
Ameer Ali * 34 5-13 2-7 2-2 9 1 0 0 3 14 8 -
Kevin Thompson * 32 1-6 0-0 0-3 12 1 0 3 2 2 10 -
DeWayne Jackson * 20 3-11 2-9 0-1 5 2 1 1 1 8 5 -
Ian Chiles * 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
Blake Bozeman 27 2-6 2-4 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 9 4 -
Aric Brooks 23 4-4 0-0 10-10 8 0 2 0 3 18 21 -
Shaquille Duncan 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Jeremy Canty 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Thair Heath 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter