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2012-01-16

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars San Diego Toreros Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.6% 21.4% - โœ“
Margin 88.1% 11.9% -11.0 โœ“ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 68.5% 31.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.3% 7.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.5% 27.5% - โœ“

Actual: San Diego Toreros -19 (63-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Charles Abouo * 34 6-13 0-3 2-2 7 7 0 0 0 14 15 -
Brock Zylstra * 33 6-10 5-7 0-0 7 1 3 0 2 17 16 -
Brandon Davies * 32 3-9 0-0 6-10 12 2 1 2 2 12 18 -
Noah Hartsock * 29 2-12 1-6 2-2 1 3 0 1 3 7 -3 -
Matt Carlino * 25 5-10 2-5 2-2 7 2 0 1 4 14 10 -
Craig Cusick 18 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Nate Austin 10 2-4 1-1 2-3 5 1 0 0 2 7 7 -
Josh Sharp 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Stephen Rogers 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Anson Winder 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nick Martineau 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Damarcus Harrison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Kramer * 34 6-15 0-2 3-3 8 3 2 4 0 15 17 -
Johnny Dee * 31 4-9 3-8 1-2 0 0 1 0 2 12 2 -
Christopher Anderson * 29 5-11 1-2 0-0 2 3 3 0 4 11 4 -
Ken Rancifer * 23 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 7 6 -
Simi Fajemisin * 15 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -
Chris Manresa 20 2-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 2 0 7 10 -
Cameron Miles 19 3-7 0-0 1-1 2 3 2 0 0 7 7 -
Darian Norris 18 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 1 -
John Sinis 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Nick Kerr 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Blair Banker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter