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2012-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Stetson Hatters Lipscomb Bisons Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“

Actual: Lipscomb Bisons +1 (104-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adam Pegg * 38 10-19 0-3 8-11 14 4 1 0 1 28 27 -
Aaron Graham * 35 7-17 4-12 6-6 4 2 3 2 3 24 15 -
Chris Perez * 32 9-13 5-7 0-1 7 0 0 0 1 23 16 -
Joel Naburgs * 32 2-8 2-7 0-0 7 3 1 0 1 6 8 -
Liam McInerney * 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
Willie Green 29 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 4 8 -
Amara Thompson 22 1-4 0-0 6-10 3 5 1 0 5 8 8 -
Dennis Diaz 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
Tyshawn Patterson 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jermol Paul 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Lipscomb Bisons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Burgason * 39 9-17 4-10 2-3 5 1 0 0 1 24 12 -
J. Arnett * 37 7-9 2-3 6-7 6 3 0 0 4 22 18 -
J. Glenn * 33 6-9 0-0 0-3 13 3 0 2 2 12 19 -
D. Smith * 30 2-6 1-1 0-3 4 4 2 0 2 5 7 -
D. Alexander * 28 4-7 1-4 0-2 2 3 0 0 0 9 7 -
Z. Williams 25 8-13 0-2 4-8 2 3 1 0 3 20 10 -
M. Smith 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
M. Williams 14 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 8 5 -
M. Smith 2 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
C. Sanderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter