Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith * | 39 | 8-20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| C. Smith * | 39 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| P. Siva * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Ware | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Nunez | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Z. Price | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Buckles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crowder * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | - |
| D. Johnson-Odom * | 37 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| J. Cadougan * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| V. Blue * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Gardner * | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T. Mayo | 29 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Wilson | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter