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2012-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Vermont Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.8% 92.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“

Actual: Vermont Catamounts +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McLemore * 34 6-15 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 14 3 -
M. Allison * 33 5-9 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 4 3 10 8 -
J. Edwards * 33 8-18 0-2 3-4 3 7 1 2 2 19 12 -
A. Fraser * 31 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 1 4 7 -
A. Rogers * 21 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 6 -
R. Singleton 23 2-7 2-5 7-8 2 3 0 0 1 13 10 -
K. Cato 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
X. Pollard 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. McAllian 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Valjarevic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sandro Carissimo * 30 2-6 1-3 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 7 8 -
Brian Voelkel * 28 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 7 1 0 0 10 18 -
Luke Apfeld * 26 6-11 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 1 0 13 7 -
Matt Glass * 22 6-11 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 14 4 -
Brendan Bald * 19 2-3 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 1 2 7 3 -
Four McGlynn 25 4-8 2-3 6-6 1 1 0 0 1 16 9 -
Clancy Rugg 18 1-5 0-1 3-4 7 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
Josh Elbaum 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 3 1 1 2 1 6 -
Pat Bergmann 13 2-5 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
Ryan McKeaney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chris Santo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter