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2012-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 69.4% 30.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 81.6% 18.4% - โœ“
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.4% 18.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.9% 38.1% - โœ“

Actual: Clemson Tigers -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 31 2-9 1-4 4-4 3 2 1 0 2 9 4 -
Austin Rivers * 28 2-7 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -4 -
M. Plumlee * 26 4-6 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 0 2 12 12 -
Ryan Kelly * 26 3-8 0-2 2-3 4 2 1 1 2 8 6 -
Quinn Cook * 19 4-6 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 10 5 -
Andre Dawkins 27 7-12 5-9 5-6 2 0 1 2 1 24 16 -
M. Plumlee 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 14 0 1 1 4 6 13 -
Tyler Thornton 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 2 -
Josh Hairston 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Michael Gbinije 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 37 6-14 0-1 0-1 13 0 1 0 3 12 9 -
Andre Young * 34 4-14 2-7 2-2 3 5 2 1 0 12 9 -
Tanner Smith * 34 4-12 1-3 2-4 7 4 2 0 1 11 11 -
Milton Jennings * 27 7-13 1-3 1-4 4 3 2 1 2 16 11 -
T.J. Sapp * 27 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
Bryan Narcisse 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
K.J. McDaniels 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Catalin Baciu 8 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
Devin Coleman 7 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 -
Rod Hall 7 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Bernard Sullivan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter