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2012-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 90.3% 9.7% -
Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Log Adjusted 95.5% 4.5% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. James * 36 5-19 1-6 0-1 6 2 1 0 2 11 -1 -
J. Moran * 35 4-11 4-9 3-4 7 1 1 0 1 15 12 -
M. Sonnen * 34 1-5 1-5 2-4 2 3 2 0 1 5 6 -
J. Koch * 29 4-6 0-1 3-3 5 3 1 0 2 11 12 -
S. Tuttle * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 4 1 -
C. Rank 26 5-7 4-6 1-1 7 1 0 0 0 15 16 -
D. Mitchell 11 1-2 1-1 3-5 3 3 0 0 3 6 7 -
A. Pehl 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
M. Morrison 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simms-Edwards * 39 8-14 6-9 4-4 4 2 2 0 2 26 18 -
W. Lemon Jr. * 37 6-14 1-4 3-5 4 4 3 0 5 16 8 -
S. Shayok * 23 0-1 0-1 4-6 3 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Prosser * 15 1-5 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Brown 33 6-12 1-3 10-11 8 2 2 0 1 23 22 -
J. Eastman 30 1-4 0-1 0-0 8 2 1 0 1 2 8 -
A. Thompson 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
C. Woods 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Crawford 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter