Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +16 (80-64). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Jamar * | 38 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Will Cherry * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Mathias Ward * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Art Steward * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Eric Hutchison * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Derek Selvig | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Gregory | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Eric Hutchison | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Michael Weisner | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Stockton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Henderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Wood | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 39 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 11-12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Scott Bamforth * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Darin Mahoney * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Richardson * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Tresnak * | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Bullinger | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Byron Fulton | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Frank Otis | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Gelaun Wheelwright | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter