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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model South Alabama Jaguars Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 โœ“ (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“

Actual: Troy Trojans -15 (60-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Goldstein * 32 10-19 9-16 1-2 4 3 0 0 3 30 15 -
M. Ammons * 31 3-8 0-1 0-0 12 3 2 1 1 6 15 -
J. Carter * 28 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 4 0 4 13 -
A. Rubit * 27 7-12 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 4 17 6 -
T. Anderson 33 3-6 0-0 0-1 4 6 1 0 6 6 5 -
A. Lundy 17 4-9 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
D. Hersey 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 0 2 -
D. Jones 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
W. Wright 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Weathers * 34 1-8 0-5 2-2 4 6 1 1 3 4 5 -
Emil Jones * 29 4-11 1-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 9 7 -
Tim Owens * 26 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 4 3 5 11 -
R.J. Scott * 23 3-10 1-7 3-4 3 2 0 0 2 10 3 -
Daronte Clark * 14 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 1 -
Justin Wright 24 3-11 2-8 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 9 4 -
Alan Jones 22 3-9 1-6 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 8 3 -
Steven Cunningham 15 3-9 1-5 2-5 5 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
Ray Chambers 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter