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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model SIU Edwardsville Cougars Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.6% 84.4% - โœ“
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.3 โœ“ (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.3% 92.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +3 (52-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SIU Edwardsville Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Yelovich * 34 2-11 1-4 3-4 6 0 2 0 5 8 0 -
Jerome Jones * 32 5-12 1-2 3-3 4 0 3 0 4 14 5 -
Kris Davis * 32 4-9 2-5 2-7 4 1 2 0 3 12 7 -
Derian Shaffer * 27 1-2 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
Corey Wickware * 27 3-9 3-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 9 4 -
Reggie Reed 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 2 8 -
Kevin Stineman 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Zeke Schneider 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
David Boarden 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Charles Joy 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Michael Birts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wil Peters * 36 1-7 0-3 0-0 9 4 2 0 2 2 8 -
Patrick Miller * 31 6-7 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 1 2 14 12 -
M.J. Rhett * 27 3-5 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 0 6 12 -
Robert Covington * 26 7-15 2-5 1-2 8 0 1 1 5 17 7 -
Jay Harris * 23 1-7 0-4 0-0 3 1 2 1 2 2 0 -
Kellen Thornton 17 1-4 1-2 4-6 3 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
Kenny Moore 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
Michael Green 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Tashon Fredrick 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Cyphers 6 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
Chris Conner 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter