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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 46.4% 53.6% +0.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Log Adjusted 92.0% 8.0% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 39 4-11 1-1 8-12 12 1 3 1 2 17 21 -
M. Teague * 38 3-8 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 5 7 -3 -
A. Davis * 35 7-10 0-0 4-5 8 2 2 4 0 18 24 -
T. Jones * 24 4-8 0-1 2-3 5 1 1 3 3 10 9 -
D. Miller * 23 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
D. Lamb 28 1-7 0-1 2-3 4 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
K. Wiltjer 9 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
E. Vargas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Beckham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tatum * 34 5-11 3-6 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 16 9 -
T. Golden * 31 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Maymon * 30 4-7 0-0 7-10 10 0 2 0 3 15 17 -
R. Woolridge * 16 0-6 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 -1 -
J. Richardson * 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 3 0 5 7 -
S. McBee 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
K. Hall 18 3-9 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 8 1 -
J. Stokes 17 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 3 9 6 -
J. McRae 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 1 -1 -
Y. Makanjuola 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter