Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | +5.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -7 (52-59). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Franklin * | 36 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Melvin Johnson III * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Michael Hale III * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jeromie Hill * | 23 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Alex Vouyoukas * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sei Paye | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Iggy Nujic | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kannon Burrage | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Sims | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Bostic * | 38 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jereal Scott * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| P. Gardner * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joe Bright * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jacob Parker * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Haymon | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Hal Bateman | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan King | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Smith | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Micah Delph | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter