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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.9% 95.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.8% 76.2% - โœ“

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +18 (74-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Wilder * 29 4-12 2-8 1-2 5 1 2 0 4 11 3 -
Derick Flowers * 26 2-6 0-2 1-2 3 4 0 0 3 5 3 -
Chris McNealy * 22 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Daman Starring * 19 0-6 0-3 2-2 2 3 1 1 3 2 0 -
Adam Folker * 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
Mike Best 25 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 7 4 -
Will Davis 23 2-9 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 5 4 -3 -
Travis Souza 19 5-7 5-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 15 12 -
Collin Woods 17 0-3 0-1 4-4 3 3 0 2 3 4 6 -
Marcus Bradley 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Nunnally * 31 4-12 0-1 3-3 9 6 4 0 2 11 16 -
Keegan Hornbuckle * 30 6-9 2-3 0-2 5 3 4 1 0 14 18 -
Orlando Johnson * 28 5-11 1-3 4-5 4 2 1 0 5 15 6 -
Alan Williams * 24 4-7 0-0 1-3 13 0 1 4 1 9 19 -
Jaime Serna * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T.J. Taylor 21 4-6 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 9 5 -
Nate Garth 18 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 6 2 -
Greg Somogyi 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 1 6 -
Christian Peterson 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
Kyle Boswell 6 2-6 1-4 2-3 0 0 1 0 0 7 2 -
Lewis Thomas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter