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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% -
Bradley-Terry 88.6% 11.4% -
Margin 9.5% 90.5% +12.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% -
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baker * 36 10-17 2-4 4-4 2 0 1 0 3 26 9 -
J. Lowery * 34 0-4 0-1 7-8 4 6 0 0 1 7 12 -
C. Willis * 27 2-6 0-2 4-4 2 5 2 0 2 8 9 -
T. Darby * 23 2-5 0-0 1-5 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
C. Moore * 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 8 4 -
N. Skouen 23 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 5 3 -
R. Eaton 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Ochenje 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
H. Harold 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Caloiaro * 35 1-3 1-2 2-2 10 3 3 0 0 5 18 -
C. Doolin * 31 2-8 0-5 2-2 1 5 1 0 1 6 4 -
R. Green * 27 2-6 0-2 7-7 7 1 1 0 1 11 13 -
P. Blackwell * 25 6-8 0-0 3-8 5 1 1 0 3 15 11 -
M. Williams * 24 7-9 2-4 1-1 0 1 1 0 0 17 10 -
D. O'Connor 24 3-6 0-1 4-6 2 3 0 0 2 10 7 -
C. Dickerson 23 5-8 1-2 1-4 5 1 0 1 2 12 9 -
J. Raffington 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Hoffmann 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter