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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Central Arkansas Bears Northwestern State Demons Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% - โœ—
Margin 7.3% 92.7% +13.9 โœ— (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 21.5% 78.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 7.8% 92.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 23.1% 76.9% - โœ—

Actual: Northwestern State Demons -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Rutledge * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 10 18 -
Robert Crawford * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 13 22 -
LaQuentin Miles * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 1 3 16 20 -
Anthony Borden * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 2 9 -
Oliver Wells * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 5 -
Carlin Bremner 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 17 17 -
Jarvis Garner 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 1 2 0 5 -
Ryan Williams 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 7 13 -
Dewan Clayborn 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Chris Henson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
Terry Tidwell 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
Jordan Harks 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shamir Davis * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 23 26 -
William Mosley * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 17 1 1 7 0 10 36 -
Louis Ellis * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 12 17 -
Gary Roberson * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 9 15 -
Patrick Robinson * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 0 4 -
James Hulbin 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 10 18 -
Demetrice Jacobs 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 7 8 -
Gary Stewart 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 2 6 -
O.J. Evans 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
John Brisco 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Tyler Washington 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Marvin Frazier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter