Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Blount * | 30 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Tre Johnson * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mohammed Fall * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Christian Moon * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Rod Singleton * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Reid | 22 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Michael Dison | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Budinich | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Allou | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stallon Saldivar * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Gabe Rogers * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Durrell Norman * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Michael Dunn * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ephraim Ekanem * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| James Douglas | 27 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Gaellen Bewernick | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ben Olayinka | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Max Jacobsen | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Danny Cheek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter