Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +4 (84-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison DuPont | 32 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 28 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Les | 27 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 26 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Miller | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinnie McGhee | 22 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Stephan Hicks | 22 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Michael Lizarraga | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Allan Guei | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aqeel Quinn | 18 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Davon Potts | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Josh Greene | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Frankie Eteuati | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ari Feldman | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Allen Jiles | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| John Hayward-Mayhew | 11 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Mitchell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter