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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Loyola Marymount Lions Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Margin 80.5% 19.5% -7.8 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.8% 10.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.4% 33.6% - โœ“

Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Spangler 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevin Pangos * 36 1-6 1-4 6-6 4 3 0 0 4 9 6 -
G. Bell Jr. * 34 6-9 1-2 3-4 4 3 1 0 3 16 12 -
Elias Harris * 33 9-17 0-3 1-2 4 0 2 1 0 19 9 -
Robert Sacre * 29 3-7 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 2 3 8 7 -
Mike Hart * 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 4 -
Sam Dower 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
Mathis Keita 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 1 1 2 2 -
David Stockton 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
Guy Edi 5 0-1 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Marquise Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Ireland * 39 3-8 2-4 3-4 1 5 1 0 7 11 3 -
Ashley Hamilton * 36 6-9 2-3 2-4 4 1 2 0 3 16 11 -
Drew Viney * 28 2-10 0-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 6 -5 -
Ayodeji Egbeyemi * 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
Godwin Okonji * 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
LaRon Armstead 25 4-8 2-3 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 14 8 -
Alex Osborne 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 3 1 1 4 10 -
C.J. Blackwell 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Quincy Lawson 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Bruce English 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter