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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 69.1% 30.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 โœ“ (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 69.5% 30.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 69.6% 30.4% - โœ—

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Bartelstein 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Colton Christian 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Carlton Brundidge 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 36 2-13 0-8 5-8 2 2 1 0 2 9 -1 -
Zack Novak * 35 5-10 4-8 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 14 12 -
Trey Burke * 27 7-13 2-7 3-3 2 2 0 0 3 19 7 -
Jordan Morgan * 27 1-1 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 0 2 4 7 -
Evan Smotrycz * 22 0-6 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Stu Douglass 23 3-6 2-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
Matt Vogrich 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Blake McLimans 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Eso Akunne 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Gatens * 38 5-10 4-7 5-5 3 1 3 0 0 19 16 -
D. Marble * 34 5-12 0-1 3-5 6 4 1 1 2 13 11 -
Melsahn Basabe * 26 3-5 0-0 1-3 3 2 1 0 2 7 6 -
Zach McCabe * 24 4-5 0-0 3-5 7 3 0 0 1 11 15 -
Eric May * 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
Aaron White 23 2-6 0-0 8-10 5 0 1 0 2 12 10 -
Josh Oglesby 16 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 7 6 -
Bryce Cartwright 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 5 2 0 1 4 5 -
Andrew Brommer 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Devon Archie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter