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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maalik Wayns * 38 12-22 6-13 9-10 13 6 0 0 2 39 34 -
Dominic Cheek * 34 6-16 5-13 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 19 6 -
Mouphtaou Yarou * 32 3-5 0-0 3-6 11 0 0 1 6 9 10 -
JayVaughn Pinkston * 31 2-8 0-1 2-4 5 3 0 0 1 6 5 -
Ash Yacoubou * 29 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
Markus Kennedy 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
James Bell 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
Tyrone Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cashmere Wright * 36 2-14 2-6 5-8 6 5 6 0 2 11 12 -
Yancy Gates * 34 7-11 0-0 2-3 9 3 1 0 0 16 18 -
Dion Dixon * 34 7-19 4-7 4-6 3 3 1 0 0 22 10 -
Sean Kilpatrick * 32 4-7 2-3 4-5 2 0 0 0 1 14 8 -
Justin Jackson * 26 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 2 0 8 12 -
Jaquon Parker 17 2-4 1-2 2-3 0 1 0 1 0 7 5 -
Jeremiah Davis 13 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Mbodj 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -

* = starter