Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -1 (62-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Guy * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| T. Lockhart * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Jackson * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Javes * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Williams * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| W. Neighbour | 22 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Dillard | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| E. Lawton | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Fondren | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Sutherland | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hooten * | 36 | 5-15 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | - |
| T. Finn * | 35 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| B. Peterson * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Townsel * | 30 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 8-12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Kirkland * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Griswold | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Dickerson | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter