Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.8% | 33.2% | -3.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +4 (56-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Mitchell * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Trevor Releford * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Trevor Lacey * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| JaMychal Green * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Levi Randolph * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Steele | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Nick Jacobs | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ben Eblen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Hood * | 36 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 34 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brian Bryant | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Deville Smith | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter