Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes -6 (83-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Pearson * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| M. Morrison * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Cornelius * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Allen * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| V. Vaughns * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Wright | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Arledge | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| C. Edwards | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | - |
| V. Gray | 21 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 8-10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| P. Bennett | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Hitchens * | 35 | 6-21 | 1-9 | 6-10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | -1 | - |
| Devon Moore * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 26 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Andrey Semenov * | 25 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Enoch Hood * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alioune Diouf | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Arman Marks | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Gene Swindle | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter