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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 87.0% 13.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“
Margin 90.2% 9.8% -12.2 โœ“ (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.2% 5.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.2% 25.8% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Cougars -34 (55-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Crawford * 33 7-11 5-8 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 19 16 -
Tarik Black * 30 4-6 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 5 2 10 14 -
Will Barton * 30 6-13 0-1 2-3 10 2 4 0 3 14 14 -
Antonio Barton * 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
Ferrakohn Hall * 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 3 -
Joe Jackson 22 6-7 0-0 4-5 1 5 1 0 1 16 15 -
Wesley Witherspoon 18 2-3 1-2 4-4 3 1 2 0 0 9 12 -
D.J. Stephens 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 4 7 -
Stan Simpson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Hippolyte Tsafack 4 1-1 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Charles Holt 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Trey Draper 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Preston Laird 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alandise Harris * 33 3-10 0-1 12-17 3 0 0 1 2 18 10 -
J.J. Thompson * 30 3-9 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
Joe Young * 27 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
TaShawn Thomas * 22 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 6 4 -
Kirk Van Slyke * 21 1-6 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Jonathon Simmons 30 7-12 1-3 1-1 5 0 3 0 5 16 7 -
Darian Thibodeaux 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 0 2 -
Leon Gibson 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Jimmie Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Rakim Stevenson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Donald Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter