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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Cornell Big Red Spread Result
Elo 64.0% 36.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.6% 41.4% - โœ“
Margin 55.3% 44.7% -1.2 โœ“ (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“

Actual: Cornell Big Red -12 (52-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zack Rosen * 39 8-15 2-3 0-0 3 5 5 0 5 18 11 -
Rob Belcore * 33 1-6 1-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
Tyler Bernardini * 29 7-12 3-4 1-3 8 1 0 0 2 18 13 -
Miles Jackson-Cartwright * 24 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 8 2 -
Henry Brooks * 10 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
Steve Rennard 25 1-3 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
Fran Dougherty 18 0-1 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 3 0 1 7 -
Mike Howlett 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
Marin Kukoc 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Camryn Crocker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Dau Jok 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Patrick Lucas-Perry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cornell Big Red

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wroblewski * 34 1-5 1-2 1-2 1 6 4 0 3 4 7 -
S. Miller * 31 8-13 0-4 3-5 10 0 1 4 0 19 21 -
E. Chemerinski * 29 3-5 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 1 3 6 7 -
G. Cancer * 26 2-7 0-0 3-5 1 2 2 0 3 7 2 -
D. Ferry * 23 2-8 1-6 3-3 3 1 1 0 0 8 5 -
D. Cherry 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 5 1 -
J. Gray 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 -
D. Tarwater 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
M. Groebe 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. LaMore 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Giddens 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Figini 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Scelfo 1 0-0 0-0 0-3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. McMillan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Tomic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter