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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Margin 73.2% 26.8% -5.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.3% 18.7% - โœ“

Actual: Columbia Lions -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Bray * 34 3-5 2-2 4-5 4 5 6 0 2 12 20 -
Doug Davis * 29 3-7 1-2 3-6 1 2 1 0 0 10 7 -
Ian Hummer * 25 3-10 0-2 5-6 6 0 0 1 2 11 6 -
Mack Darrow * 24 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 8 -
Patrick Saunders * 24 2-3 2-2 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 7 7 -
Jimmy Sherburne 19 2-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
Ben Hazel 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
Brendan Connolly 16 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
Denton Koon 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Barbour * 38 7-11 2-4 9-11 3 1 0 0 3 25 15 -
Mark Cisco * 30 4-6 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 1 2 12 16 -
Meiko Lyles * 28 1-9 0-2 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 4 -3 -
Alex Rosenberg * 27 4-7 1-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 3 10 4 -
John Daniels * 19 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Steve Egee 22 1-6 0-3 3-3 7 1 1 0 4 5 4 -
Blaise Staab 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
Cory Osetkowski 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Noah Springwater 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Crockett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter