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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Bryant Bulldogs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 25.9% 74.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“

Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +4 (64-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bryant Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frankie Dobbs * 40 4-11 3-7 1-2 0 5 1 0 2 12 5 -
Daniel Calandrillo * 39 2-6 0-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
Raphael Jordan * 36 7-8 2-2 1-1 5 4 1 0 2 17 17 -
Claybrin McMath * 28 1-8 0-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 0 -
Ben Altit * 15 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
Alex Francis 35 8-16 0-1 0-6 4 0 1 0 4 16 1 -
Erick Smith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Vlad Kondratyev 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julian Norfleet * 37 6-11 3-5 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 16 11 -
Josh Castellanos * 33 2-9 0-6 3-4 1 8 1 0 4 7 4 -
Kelvin Parker * 29 4-8 2-6 0-1 2 2 0 0 2 10 4 -
Danny Thompson * 25 4-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 2 0 2 8 7 -
Kristijan Krajina * 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 2 8 -
Raven Barber 28 6-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 12 8 -
Xavier Owens 18 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jacolby Wells 13 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Chad Holley 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter