Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Joseph's Hawks | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +9 (71-62). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Jones * | 37 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Halil Kanacevic * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Aiken * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Langston Galloway * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Daryus Quarles * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Ronald Roberts Jr. | 27 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Chris Wilson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Papa Ndao | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaz Williams * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Raphiael Putney * | 34 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Sean Carter * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jesse Morgan * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Terrell Vinson * | 18 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Freddie Riley | 24 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Javorn Farrell | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Maxie Esho | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter