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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 95.1% 4.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% - โœ“
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 โœ“ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% - โœ—

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -14 (53-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Lamb * 40 3-11 0-4 0-0 3 7 1 0 1 6 5 -
Shabazz Napier * 40 5-11 1-5 5-8 3 5 1 1 1 16 14 -
Andre Drummond * 36 5-12 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 2 1 10 14 -
Alex Oriakhi * 24 5-8 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 2 2 12 12 -
DeAndre Daniels * 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Niels Giffey 27 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 7 7 -
Roscoe Smith 15 2-3 0-0 6-6 6 0 0 0 1 10 12 -
Tyler Olander 6 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 4 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Crowley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Scott Martin * 40 5-14 0-5 2-2 9 1 0 0 2 12 6 -
Eric Atkins * 40 8-15 4-7 0-1 3 2 0 0 2 20 8 -
Jerian Grant * 35 2-9 2-8 0-2 1 5 1 0 0 6 4 -
Jack Cooley * 25 2-7 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 1 2 7 6 -
Alex Dragicevich * 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Pat Connaughton 20 1-7 0-3 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 2 1 -
Joey Brooks 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Tom Knight 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Mike Broghammer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter