Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | -6.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green * | 39 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 23 | - |
| K. Appling * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 9-13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Wood * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Payne * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Trice II | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Thornton | 21 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Nix | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Kearney | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Gauna | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Byrd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shurna * | 40 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 10-11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| D. Sobolewski * | 40 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Curletti * | 36 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 23 | - |
| D. Crawford * | 29 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| R. Hearn * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter