Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✗ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -15 (59-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 40 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 37 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Taylor Stewart * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Kamryn Williams * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Carter | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Yon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 38 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 33 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Westly Perryman * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kenny Buckner * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Drew Wiley | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Watkins | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Marks | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter