Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✗ (36.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +33 (90-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Zeller * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 2 | - |
| John Henson * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Bullock | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 15 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stilman White | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Watts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Dupont | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Crouch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stewart Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Loucks * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys * | 33 | 12-14 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 27 | - |
| Michael Snaer * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Bernard James * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Xavier Gibson * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Okaro White | 23 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ian Miller | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jon Kreft | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Peterson | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Antwan Space | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Terry Whisnant | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rafael Portuondo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joey Moreau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter