Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina A&T Aggies | Howard Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Howard Bison -5 (65-70). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
North Carolina A&T Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Witter | 33 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Marc Hill | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Lawrence Smith | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Adrian Powell | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Nic Simpson | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jared Williams | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R.J. Buck | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Waylan Siverand | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Underwood | 7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Anthony Estes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jean Louisme | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Howard Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Thompson | 37 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Glenn Andrews | 31 | 3-13 | 2-11 | 8-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Prince Okoroh | 29 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Oliver Ellison | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - |
| Alphonso Leary | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mike Phillips | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tre Lee | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bailey | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Ford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Theodore Boyomo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Clinton Cuffee | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dadrian Collins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anton Dickerson | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter