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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% - โœ“
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“

Actual: American University Eagles +13 (67-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Burrell 35 4-8 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 9 4 -
Devin Brown 31 3-10 0-2 8-9 2 0 0 0 1 14 5 -
R.J. Evans 30 2-8 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 -2 -
Dave Dudzinski 29 0-7 0-4 4-4 2 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
Phil Beans 27 2-7 2-6 5-8 9 0 0 1 2 11 12 -
Mike Cavataio 23 3-7 0-1 2-2 7 2 0 0 1 8 9 -
Jordan Stevens 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Malcolm Miller 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Dee Goens 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Taylor Abt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Charles Hinkle 34 4-10 0-2 9-10 10 5 0 0 3 17 19 -
Daniel Munoz 33 5-7 0-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 1 14 11 -
John Schoof 28 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
Simon McCormack 25 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 8 10 -
Tony Wroblicky 19 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
Troy Brewer 18 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 7 2 -
Riley Grafft 13 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Blake Jolivette 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Daniel Fisher 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Wayne Simon 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Kyle Kager 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter