Model Predictions
| Model | Brown Bears | Yale Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Yale Bulldogs +4 (68-64). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McGonagill * | 40 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 1-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Matt Sullivan * | 38 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Stephen Albrecht * | 34 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Andrew McCarthy * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dockery Walker * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tellef Lundevall | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Ponticelli | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jean Harris | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jon Schmidt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Mangano * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Austin Morgan * | 32 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Willhite * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Michael Grace * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Salafia | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Sherrod | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Sam Martin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jesse Pritchard | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Townsend | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter