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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 15.1% 84.9% -
Bradley-Terry 20.3% 79.7% -
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 4.1% 95.9% -
Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McGonagill * 40 9-16 4-6 1-6 4 6 1 0 5 23 13 -
M. Sullivan * 38 5-10 3-7 3-4 3 2 1 0 1 16 11 -
S. Albrecht * 34 4-9 4-7 0-1 4 2 1 0 1 12 9 -
A. McCarthy * 32 4-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 10 7 -
D. Walker * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Lundevall 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
T. Ponticelli 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 0 3 -
J. Harris 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Schmidt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Mangano * 36 6-13 1-2 2-5 4 1 0 3 2 15 8 -
A. Morgan * 32 5-9 4-6 4-4 3 2 0 0 2 18 12 -
R. Willhite * 30 5-10 0-2 2-4 6 5 3 0 0 12 16 -
J. Kreisberg * 26 3-5 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 7 2 -
M. Grace * 20 1-5 0-1 3-4 2 5 0 0 1 5 6 -
I. Salafia 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
B. Sherrod 17 3-3 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
S. Martin 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Pritchard 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Townsend 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter