Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hanson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Amaurys Fermin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Will Taylor * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Eversley | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Maliik Love | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Matt Titchenal | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Martin * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Kareem Nitoto * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| B.J. Shearry * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Robert Smith * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Bradshaw * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| David Chavarria | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Elliott Berry | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Austin Quick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Gilliam | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daymond Cowlah | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter