Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +7 (60-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hanson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Fermin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| W. Taylor * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| D. Royer * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. U'u * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Eversley | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| M. Love | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Odister | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Martin * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| K. Nitoto * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| B.J. Shearry * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | - |
| R. Smith * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| K. Bradshaw * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D. Chavarria | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Berry | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Quick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gilliam | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Cowlah | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter