Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Bellfield * | 35 | 1-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 35 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 7-11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Mike Moser * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Chace Stanback * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 26 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Smith | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kendall Wallace | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rahon * | 38 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 38 | 8-18 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| X. Thames * | 35 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -3 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 31 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| G. Green | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Stephens | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter