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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 67.6% 32.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.0% 44.0% - โœ—
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 โœ— (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 73.4% 26.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—

Actual: Auburn Tigers +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Murphy Holloway * 46 5-8 0-0 1-3 11 1 3 1 3 11 16 -
Terrance Henry * 41 2-8 1-4 0-0 9 4 1 2 6 5 7 -
Reginald Buckner * 37 5-6 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 4 2 11 19 -
Jarvis Summers * 35 6-15 4-8 6-8 5 5 2 0 6 22 13 -
Jelan Kendrick * 31 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 3 2 1 0 4 4 -
Nick Williams 35 5-18 2-9 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 13 -4 -
Demarco Cox 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
LaDarius White 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Maurice Aniefiok 5 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Aaron Jones 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Steadman Short 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenny Gabriel * 48 4-12 3-6 0-0 13 1 1 4 1 11 17 -
Varez Ward * 44 2-13 0-4 4-7 4 5 2 0 5 8 1 -
Chris Denson * 38 4-12 1-2 7-10 4 2 1 0 4 16 7 -
Adrian Forbes * 28 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 0 6 -
Rob Chubb * 24 3-4 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 8 1 -
Frankie Sullivan 33 6-9 2-5 5-9 3 4 4 0 1 19 20 -
Josh Langford 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
Josh Wallace 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
Allen Payne 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Noel Johnson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Willy Kouassi 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter