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2012-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Margin 72.6% 27.4% -5.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.7% 38.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -9 (60-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simons * 37 6-11 3-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 17 10 -
Rayvonte Rice * 32 3-9 0-3 2-3 6 3 2 0 5 8 5 -
Jeremy Jeffers * 27 3-5 1-1 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 7 11 -
Karl Madison * 27 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 3 2 -
Jordan Clarke * 17 4-5 0-0 1-5 6 0 1 0 3 9 8 -
Kraidon Woods 22 4-4 0-0 0-2 6 3 1 2 5 8 11 -
Aaron Hawley 15 4-4 2-2 1-5 4 0 0 0 2 11 9 -
Kurt Alexander 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
David Smith 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 4 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenny Harris * 37 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 3 6 8 -
Denver Holmes * 36 5-11 0-3 2-4 1 6 3 0 3 12 8 -
Troy Taylor * 25 1-3 0-0 5-6 2 1 2 0 0 7 9 -
Ryan Sawvell * 24 7-9 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 0 1 14 11 -
Colt Ryan * 22 2-6 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 1 2 6 0 -
Ned Cox 31 4-11 2-5 0-0 1 4 1 1 0 10 6 -
Lewis Jones 16 2-8 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
Jordan Nelson 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Matt Peeler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rokas Cesnulevicius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jaylon Moore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter