Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.9% | 98.1% | +26.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +20 (65-45). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Davis * | 40 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Devon Moore * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Humpty Hitchens * | 35 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Andrey Semenov * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Enoch Hood * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Alioune Diouf | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Gene Swindle | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Arman Marks | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford Burgess * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Darius Theus * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Juvonte Reddic * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Rob Brandenberg * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D.J. Haley * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Treveon Graham | 23 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Briante Weber | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Teddy Okereafor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reco McCarter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Hinton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarred Guest | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter