Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers +17 (81-64). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Steele | 34 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Austin Tillotson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Nicholas | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Ware | 23 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5 | - |
| Dion Nesmith | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ed Waite | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mike Myers Keitt | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Will Campbell | 17 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Phil Wait | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Max DiLeo | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Daniel James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Perunicic | 31 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Cannon | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Ben Mockford | 25 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Travis Nichols | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Justin Newton | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 12 | - |
| Matt Milk | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brent Jones | 20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Santavenere | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Douglas | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lowell Ulmer | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Milos Trivic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter