Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | +6.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +15 (80-65). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Jones * | 33 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Joshua Jones * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mike DiNunno * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Eric Stutz * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D'Mitri Riggs * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Allgood | 19 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Johnson | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Timmy Knipp | 16 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jabs Newby | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Taylor Filipek | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Robbie Stenzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Parsons | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TyShwan Edmondson * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| John Fraley * | 28 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Melvin Baker * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Josh Terry * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jerome Clyburn * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Herdie Lawrence | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Justin Blake | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Will Triggs | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Chris Freeman | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Greer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Covington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Matt Hasse | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alton Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Harms | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter