Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +6 (56-50). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Reddick * | 37 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Sebirumbi * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Austin * | 32 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Richard Brown * | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Colin Reddick * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryson Barnes | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Loyd | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dominic Early | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Chris Toler | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| David Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Bryant Irwin | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Neal * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Omar Carter * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Andre Williamson * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tab Hamilton * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | - |
| Jamaal Trice * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Nathan Healy | 25 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| G.J. Vilarino | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Brian Okam | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mitch Woods | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter