Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | -0.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +12 (92-80). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 44 | 11-22 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 40 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Darius Morris | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Troy Murphy | 10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Metta World Peace | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Andrew Goudelock | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 45 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 9-17 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 30 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Glen Davis | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Quentin Richardson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Von Wafer | 15 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
* = starter