Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh Mountain Hawks +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hinkle | 37 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| John Schoof | 32 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Blake Jolivette | 30 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Munoz | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Riley Grafft | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Simon McCormack | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Wayne Simon | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Bersch | 5 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Joe Hill | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Kager | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McKnight | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| H. Greiner | 31 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. McCollum | 31 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 14 | - |
| J. Hamilton | 27 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| G. Knutson | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Adams | 17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Maneri | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. D'Orazio | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Schaefer | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Cvrkalj | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Baltimore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter