Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.5% | 22.5% | -6.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alandise Harris * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Darian Thibodeaux * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Thompson * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| TaShawn Thomas * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jonathon Simmons * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Joe Young | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kirk Van Slyke | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Leon Gibson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jimmie Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 37 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -4 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 36 | 9-21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| A.J. Rompza * | 36 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter