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2012-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Margin 2.1% 97.9% +21.1 โœ“ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“

Actual: Bucknell Bison +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Venezia * 38 3-11 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 -4 -
Mitch Rolls * 31 3-10 2-4 1-2 0 3 1 0 1 9 2 -
Pat Moore * 21 4-6 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 10 6 -
Brandon James * 20 3-8 2-5 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 10 9 -
Nick Pascale * 19 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Luke Roh 22 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 5 6 -
John Brandenburg 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 7 -
Sterling Melville 17 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 -3 -
Matt McMullen 13 0-2 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 0 2 4 4 -

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Ayers * 34 3-7 1-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 8 5 -
Mike Muscala * 28 5-9 0-0 3-5 11 1 0 1 1 13 16 -
Ryan Hill * 28 1-2 0-1 3-4 1 8 2 0 2 5 12 -
Bryan Cohen * 28 6-8 0-0 1-3 6 2 0 0 3 13 10 -
Joe Willman * 22 2-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 6 3 -
Bryson Johnson 29 6-11 5-9 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 17 9 -
Brian Fitzpatrick 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 4 7 -
Ben Brackney 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Joshea Singleton 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Steven Kaspar 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Enoch Andoh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter