Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | +2.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -3 (104-107). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-12 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 35 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 31 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 29 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| JJ Redick | 27 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Glen Davis | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chris Duhon | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Von Wafer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 40 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 30 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nicolas Batum | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Crawford | 29 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Kurt Thomas | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Craig Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter