Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shurna * | 45 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 44 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 43 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 42 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Burke * | 45 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 45 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Zack Novak * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Stu Douglass | 38 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter